Joga Bonitos
Peder Tanberg Hansen · Arsenal · last season 2,209 pts, rank 806,857
Your watchlist
5 saved. Their next fixture and ownership drift, so you can decide without leaving this page.
Captain · GW1
Thiago balances floor and ceiling best — home to Spurs, 80% the team scores and 48% they score twice.
Every candidate is fit right now andplayed at least half of last season — a hard gate, not a factor to be outweighed by a kind fixture, because “will he play” is a precondition for an armband. Ranks are percentiles across that pool, averaged, not raw values multiplied, which would let whichever metric has the widest spread dominate. Deliberately not called expected points: there is no minutes model or bonus model behind it, so every component is on screen. Big chances are shots of xG ≥ 0.3; npxG excludes penalties, which is only possible because the penalty label had to be repaired first.
Teams to target
Arsenal has the kindest attacking run over GW1–6 at 1.88 expected goals per game.
Per fixture, never summed — mid-gameweek the windows differ in size and a total would just reward having more games left. Clean-sheet % for the defensive run.
Players to target
Output, minutes, value and this week's fixture, weighted equally — ownership shown but not scored. Raya leads against COV.
Players in form
Form is not live yet. FPL's 30-day average reads 0 for everyone until matches are played, so this is 2025-26 points per 90 over at least 900 minutes instead — a high floor on purpose, because a rate built on a thin sample ranks a bit-part player above Haaland.
Price watch
Frozen until the GW1 deadline. FPL moves no price and counts no transfer before then, so there is nothing to predict yet — the hourly capture is running so the series is ready the moment it unfreezes.
Matches · GW1
Win probabilities from the Elo model, fitted against last season's betting market.
Your record
10 seasons on file. Your overall rank has improved across the last three.